Negative Scenario II
Despite my role as a skeptic in the pairing of alternative scenarios, the need for objectivity demands that I acknowledge that I share most of the arguments advanced […]
Alternative Scenarios
Select the date
- March – April 2024
- January - February 2024
- November - December 2023
- September - October 2023
- July - August 2023
- May – June 2023
- March – April 2023
- January - February 2023
- November - December 2022
- September - October 2022
- July - August 2022
- May – June 2022
- March – April 2022
- January - February 2022
- November - December 2021
- September - October 2021
- July - August 2021
- April - June 2021
- January - March 2021
- November - December 2020
- September - October 2020
Positive Scenario II
In his negative scenario 1, Ivan Zuenko reviewed several possible factors that could substantially worsen Sino-Russian relations in general, including activation of latent Chinese claims to Russian territory […]
Positive Scenario I
Setting aside the ongoing debate in The Asan Forum and other platforms about the extent and durability of the Sino-Russian alignment, it is hard to gainsay that Central […]
Negative Scenario I
The strategic partnership of Russia and China (as people like to call this relationship, eschewing the word “alliance”) is one of the key factors shaping all of world […]
Positive Scenario II
This second positive scenario of possible Russo-US cooperation in Asia assesses the latest developments in bilateral relations and US anti-Russian sentiments, the regional background in the Asia-Pacific as […]
Negative Scenario II
Moscow continues to pursue irreconcilable policies globally and in Asia. As Anna Kireeva has written, Russian writers, if not the government, highlight an allegedly irreconcilable Sino-American rivalry to […]
Postive Scenario I
Russia until recently anticipated a rapprochement with the United States without damage to its close relations with China. Indeed, given anticipated tensions in US-China relations, the result would […]
The Negative Scenario I
Donald Trump’s election to the presidency generated numerous articles expecting or advocating a rapprochement or even a “grand bargain” with Russia. This reaction reflected Trump’s many favorable campaign […]
The US-Russia-China Triangle
April 2017 has produced an unexpected swing in what used to be known as the Strategic Triangle. In 2014-16, China-Russia relations appeared closer than ever, as neither state […]