Positive Scenario I
At present, the level of regional cooperation between Russia and China clearly does not correspond to the level of relations between the leadership of the two countries, which […]
Alternative Scenarios
Select the date
- November - December 2024
- September - October 2024
- July - August 2024
- May – June 2024
- March – April 2024
- January - February 2024
- November - December 2023
- September - October 2023
- July - August 2023
- May – June 2023
- March – April 2023
- January - February 2023
- November - December 2022
- September - October 2022
- July - August 2022
- May – June 2022
- March – April 2022
- January - February 2022
- November - December 2021
- September - October 2021
- July - August 2021
- April - June 2021
- January - March 2021
- November - December 2020
- September - October 2020
Negative Scenario I: India’s Approach towards Indo-Pacific Triangularity
The year 2015 witnessed the formation of new strategic triangulations involving India. Frameworks including US-India-Japan and India-Australia-Japan were added to the existing Indian trilateral engagements, including the India-China-Russia […]
Positive Scenario I: Japan-US-India will be “Natural Allies”
Japan-US-India trilateral security cooperation has been progressing fast. These three countries hold foreign minister level strategic meetings and trilateral naval exercises called Malabar. The increasing US-India arms trade […]
Xi Jinping’s Belt & Road Initiative: How to Win Friends & Influence Europeans
In China’s history, every so often a fever grabs hold of the public imagination. Since Xi Jinping enunciated the Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) in 2013, over one […]
Reconciling Alternative Scenarios
One Belt and One Road, hereafter the new Silk Roads, is a Chinese initiative to connect different parts of regions in Asia. As a newly launched ambitious program […]
Negative Scenario II
Key terms over the past quarter century in strategizing about the Russian Far East include: complementarity, geo-economic competition, modernization, intimidation, and geostrategic competition. Reflecting on them, I revisit […]
Positive Scenario II
Gilbert Rozman has good reason to be skeptical about the Russian Far East (RFE). In my first installment, I advanced a similar argument that the root cause of […]
Negative Scenario (Synopsis of Japanese Sources)
Xi Jinping’s “One Belt, One Road” initiative, even more than Barack Obama’s “rebalance,” is a bold reconceptualization of the economic, geopolitical, and regional identity of Asia. The positive […]