November - December 2024

The Asan Forum > Balance of power

Balance of power

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April 17, 2017 Alternative Scenarios
Postive Scenario I

Russia until recently anticipated a rapprochement with the United States without damage to its close relations with China. Indeed, given anticipated tensions in US-China relations, the result would […]

Anna Kireeva

Balance of power, Donald Trump, EU, Hub-and-Spokes, North Korea, Russian Far East, Strategic Triangle, Syria, THAAD, Ukraine
April 17, 2017 Alternative Scenarios
The Negative Scenario I

Donald Trump’s election to the presidency generated numerous articles expecting or advocating a rapprochement or even a “grand bargain” with Russia. This reaction reflected Trump’s many favorable campaign […]

Stephen Blank

Balance of power, chemical weapons, NATO, North Korea, Strategic Triangle, Syria, THAAD, TPP, Trump-Xi Summit, Ukraine
April 13, 2017 Open Forum
Limits of Chinese Patience Toward North Korea and Prospects of Chinese Cooperation with South Korea

The Korean Peninsula is in a state of deep, growing insecurity. To the north, the Kim regime continues to launch ballistic missiles into the East Sea and prepare […]

Eun A Jo

Ahn Cheol-soo, Balance of power, core interests, Economic sanctions, Kim Jong-nam, Moon Jae-in, nuclear proliferation, presidential election, Six-Party Talks, THAAD, UN Security Council, US-China summit, US-ROK alliance
March 27, 2017 Open Forum
Recent Views in Japan Concerning Sino-Russian Relations

How Japanese officials, media, and academics interpret the state of the relationship between China and Russia matters for Japan’s diplomacy with both countries and its foreign policy more […]

Yoko Hirose

8-point economic cooperation plan, Abe Shinzo, Arms sales, Balance of power, BRICS, energy, G7, India, Kuril Islands, media, NATO, Northern Territories, Putin, sanctions, SCO, Senkaku Islands, Six-Party Talks, South China Sea, Territorial Disputes, Trump, Ukraine, US-Japan alliance, Vietnam, Xi Jinping
February 9, 2017 Special Forum
Competing in a Shared Order in Asia

Arguably the leading challenge for US national security strategy in the coming decade is to recalibrate the US role for a more multipolar world order. The geopolitical as […]

Michael J. Mazarr

A2/AD, AirSea Battle, anti-globalization, Asia pivot, Balance of power, East China Sea, hegemonic stability theory, Iran, military buildup, Multipolarity, nationalism, Populism, public opinion, rise of China, South China Sea, Taiwan, Thucydides trap, Trump
February 1, 2017 Country Reports
Country Report: South Korea (January 2017)

The leadership vacuum created in December has raised questions about the legitimacy of both the domestic and foreign policies of the South Korean government. With opposing party candidates […]

Editorial Staff

Abe Shinzo, Balance of power, balancer, comfort women, Denuclearization, GSOMIA, isolationism, Kaesong Industrial Complex, Korea Air Defense Identification Zone, One China policy, Populism, ROK-US Alliance, THAAD, trilateralism, Trump
December 20, 2016 Open Forum
Synopsis of Washington, DC Meetings on Trump and the Korean Peninsula

A presidential transition in the United States understandably raises concern in allied countries heavily dependent for security and diplomacy. The transition from Obama to Trump is more unsettling […]

Editorial Staff

Abe Shinzo, Al Qaeda, ASEAN, Balance of power, burden-sharing, comfort women, democratization, Denuclearization, Extended deterrence, GSOMIA, Iran, ISIS, marketization, nuclear proliferation, Putin, sanctions, Six-Party Talks, South China Sea, spheres of influence, Taiwan, THAAD, TPP, trilateralism, Trump administration
December 20, 2016 Country Reports
Country Report: China (December 2016)

During the fall of 2016, Chinese experts continued to evaluate Sino-Russian and Sino-US relations. They drew attention to Japan’s “Taiwan faction,” assessed strengthening Japanese-Australian relations, and analyzed South […]

Danielle F. S. Cohen (assisted by Dong Jiaxin)

Abe Shinzo, ASEAN, Asia pivot, Australia, Balance of power, BRICS, color revolutions, Diaoyu islands, East China Sea, energy, Eurasian Economic Union, FTAAP, G20, Global Financial Crisis, great power relations, India, Iran nuclear deal, isolationism, middle power diplomacy One Belt One Road, Paris Climate Accord, rebalance, Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, Senkaku Islands, Shanghai Cooperation Organization, Silk Road Economic Belt, South China Sea, Sphere of influence, Taiwan, TPP, Tsai Ing-wen
December 16, 2016 Special Forum
Running into a Long Brick Wall? Trump and the Future of US-China Relations

The surprise election of Donald Trump as the United States’ 45th president triggered alarm bells in capitals across the world including Beijing, given Trump’s haphazard foreign policy remarks […]

Lee Chung Min*

APEC, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Balance of power, burden-sharing, climate change, Duterte, FTAAP, Iran, ISIS, NATO, nuclear proliferation, nuclear umbrella, Paris Climate Accord, Philippines Asia pivot, RCEP, sanctions, Silk Road Economic Belt, South China Sea, Syria, Taiwan, terrorism, THAAD, Thucydides trap, TPP, trade deficit, trade war, Tsai Ing-wen
December 16, 2016 Special Forum
Japanese Media on the Impact of Donald Trump’s Election on Japan and China

Japanese awakened to Donald Trump’s victory in disbelief, coining the label “Trump shock” to go with other “shocks” memorable in their history with the United States.1 A failure […]

Gilbert Rozman

Abe Shinzo, Abenomics, ASEAN, Asia pivot, Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank, Balance of power, burden-sharing, containment, cross-Strait relations, Duterte, International Court of Arbitration, isolationism, Myanmar, One Belt One Road, Paris Climate Accords, Park Geun-hye, Philippines, Populism, protectionism, RCEP, rebalance, Senkaku Islands, Taiwan, tariffs, THAAD, TPP, trilateralism, Trump administration, Tsai Ing-wen, Vietnam, Xi Jinping